The United States lost 28 percent of its high-technology manufacturing jobs over the last decade, as the nation's rapidly shrinking lead in science and technology in the global marketplace was accompanied by a toll on U.S. high-tech jobs, according to a new study released today by the National Science Board (NSB), the policymaking body for the National Science Foundation.
One of the most dramatic signs of this trend was the loss of 687,000 high-technology manufacturing jobs since 2000. U.S. multinational corporations also created research and development (R&D) jobs overseas at an unprecedented rate. Meanwhile, China became the world leader in high-technology trade, and, for the first time, Asia matched the U.S. in R&D investments.
Those were among the key findings released today by the NSB, as it unveiled the most comprehensive and up-to-date information and analysis on the nation's position in science and technology. The biennial report, Science and Engineering Indicators (SEI), highlights trends and factors that have an impact on the nation's economy, competitiveness, and innovation capacity.
U.S. employment in high-technology manufacturing reached a peak in 2000, with 2.5 million jobs. The recession of 2001 provided the first big hit causing "substantial and permanent" job losses, the report said. By the end of the decade, more than a quarter of the jobs were gone.
"The latest data clearly show the economic consequences of the eroding competitive advantage the United States has historically enjoyed in science and technology," said Dr. José-Marie Griffiths, chairman of the NSB committee that oversees production of the report. "Other nations clearly recognize the economic and social benefits of investing in R&D and education, and they are challenging the United States leadership position. We're seeing the result in the very real, and substantial, loss of good jobs."
"The volume gives a clear picture of the United States' position in globalization," said Griffiths. "Over the last decade, the world has changed dramatically. It's now a world with very different actors who have made advancement in science and technology a top priority. And many of the troubling trends we're seeing are now very well established."
U.S. Firms Create More R&D Jobs Abroad
On top of the lost manufacturing employment, U.S. multinational corporations are rapidly expanding their R&D jobs overseas. For a decade, from 1994-2004, U.S. firms established R&D jobs abroad at a relatively slow annual rate of three percent, increasing the share of their R&D employment overseas from 14 percent to 16 percent. But according to preliminary figures, in the next five years, 2004-2009, the number of new R&D jobs overseas took off, growing to 27 percent of all R&D jobs at these U.S. firms. Since 2004, about 85 percent of R&D employment growth in U.S. multinational corporations has been abroad.
That rapid increase in employment by U.S. firms abroad contrasts with very modest growth in R&D employment in the United States by foreign companies.
"This apparent acceleration of U.S. R&D jobs overseas, along with other indicators, suggests that the capabilities of Asian countries are strong enough to accommodate such a rapid shift," said Rolf Lehming, NSF's program director for the report. "The policies of Asian governments appear to be paying off for them, and U.S. companies seem to be confident in the quality of R&D work done abroad."
The relative shift of R&D to Asia can also be seen in overall expenditures. The U.S. still does more R&D than any other single country, spending $400 billion in 2009. But, for the first time, the Asian region has nearly matched the U.S., with R&D expenditures of $399 billion.
Reversed Positions on High-tech Trade
Recent trends are also reflected in the dramatic change in shares of global high-tech exports. After rising from 19 percent to 22 percent between 1995 and 1998, by 2010 the U.S.'s share of the global high-tech exports dropped to 15 percent. At the same time, China's share nearly quadrupled, growing from 6 percent in 1995 to 22 percent in 2010.
Asia now produces more than half of all high-tech goods exports worldwide, while the U.S. and the European Union countries each produce 15 percent. During the 15-year period of 1995-2010, Japan's share fell from 19 percent to 7 percent.
Until 1997, the U.S. enjoyed surpluses in trade of high-tech goods. But by 2010 those surpluses had turned into large annual trade deficits of nearly $100 billion, largely driven by the shift in production of communications and computer goods to Asia at a time of growing U.S. demand. At the same time, China's 2010 high-tech trade surpluses reached $157 billion, while eight Asian countries (excluding China and Japan) collectively enjoyed trade surpluses of $226 billion.
Prepared biennially for the President and Congress, the comprehensive, 575-page Science and Engineering Indicators 2012 report provides information on the scope, quality, and vitality of America's science and engineering enterprise. It is a policy-neutral document, providing facts that are widely used by policymakers, federal agencies, researchers, and the news media.
Other key findings in the report include:
- Three countries - the United States, China, and Japan - performed over half of the world's $1.28 trillion in R&D spending in 2009. (China overtook Japan during the last decade to become the second largest R&D-performing nation.)
- Between 1999 and 2009, the United States' share of R&D dropped from 38 percent to 31 percent; the EU's share declined from 27 percent to 23 percent; and the Asian region grew from 24 percent to 32 percent.
- Many Asian countries have increased the share of their GDPs devoted to R&D, with China almost tripling its R&D/GDP ratio since 1996. The United States R&D/GDP ratio has recently edged upward, while that of the EU has remained steady.
- The developed world's lead in higher education has declined dramatically. In 2008, the U.S. produced only four percent of the world's engineering degrees, while 56 percent were awarded in Asia, including a third in China.
- The number of natural sciences and engineering doctorates awarded by Chinese universities more than tripled since 2000. At 26,000 awarded in 2008, the number of these Chinese doctorates now exceeds the number earned in the United States. And, unlike in China, a large share of these U.S. doctorate degrees are awarded to foreign students. In 2009, 44 percent of the 24,700 U.S. natural sciences and engineering doctorates were awarded to temporary visa holders. For engineering doctorates, 57 percent were awarded to foreign students.
- American industry, which historically has supported about 60 percent of U.S. R&D, reduced R&D funding by nearly four percent in 2009. (A rise in U.S. government R&D funding under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act partially offset the private-sector reduction.)
- Job losses from the 2007-2009 recession were less severe for science and engineering workers than for the U.S. workforce as a whole. In 2010, the median income for workers in science and engineering jobs ($73,290) was more than double the median income of all U.S. workers ($33,840).
SEI is prepared by NSF's National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NCSES) on behalf of the National Science Board. The publication is subject to extensive review by outside experts, other federal agencies, National Science Board members, and NCSES internal reviewers.
Science and Engineering Indicators 2012 goes live on the Web on Jan. 18 at noon ET at www.nsf.gov/statistics/indicators/ .